Free Tip

Obviously I wish the line would have been -1 or PK, but bookies would have never given such a line in a game in which Dallas are clear favorites to win in a close game. Rule of a thumb says to always back a team down 0 – 2, coming back home, unless the differences are too much to handle (Knicks for example is a team that is much harder to bet for a win against the Heat). Dallas could have easily won the last two games, but they are the champions and veteran team and know that nothing in a series till there is a road win. Dallas also know that unlike the first two games, a loss this time will mean series are over and will play accordingly. Thunder on the other hand, know that Dallas will come really fired up and while they are too young to forfeit this game, they can give up mentally if Dallas play with the right energy and start thinking about winning Game 4, the game that most visiting teams that lead 2 – 0 focus on. Dallas at home should be able to score 101 – 103 points and can stop the Thunder on 95 – 97 points and with Dallas being clear favorites to win, I will take my chances with 3 points line as well.