SBR videos with Jason Mills Analysis

Valencia v Villarreal Jason Mills

The last 12 matchups in all competitions have resulted in a 3-4-5 advantage to Villareal – In the last 3 seasons it’s been closer 2-2-2 ….. But there is a clear home advantage between these two – the bookies usually get this one right and Valencia despite being lower in the league are favourites here and are enjoying a decent run of home form with Villareal the reverse away. Valencia to win 2.16 Pinnacle

This is a very close match to predict – I am torn between the draw or an away win – just  to show you my ratings are home 0.143     draw 0.997 away 1.000 – historically in the last 6 meetings the results are 1-3-2 with Wolsburg not winning at home – x2 fair odds should be 1.83 but the odds on double chance x2 are much lower – and the Asian handicap odds aren’t any better.  If my arm was twisted then a straight away win at 3.65 but a cautious approach would be to split the bet at draw 3.65 and away 3.65 at the best single available odds – returning the 1.83 for the x2 double chance.

Ronaldo vs Messi – the last 12 matches between these two in all competitions couldn’t be more even, with 4 wins 4 draws and 4 loses each, with only one of those 12 matches ending under 2.5 goals and that was a 1-1 draw. But in the last 6 matches Real have gained the upper hand and given this seasons form I expect that run to continue . This season Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 18 matches, they have won their last 9 home matches, they  have won 92% of their home matches, they have won 79% of all their matches, they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 21 matches, with 75% of their matches finishing over 2.5 goals scored. Barce won’t be pushovers they have won 75% of all their matches with 71% of their matches finishing over 2.5 goals scored in total. I am happy betting Real to win 2.30 or over 2.5 is 1.62 A tempting bet is to split the stakes on the correct score market 2-1 or 2-2 at odds of 8/1 and 12/1 respectively the return would be a 5/1 bet – these scores have come in 50% of the time these sides have met.